Sport

AFL Round 11: Betting Preview and Tips

North Melbourne kick off AFL Round 11 when they begin life without Brad Scott with a home match against Richmond Tigers on Friday night.

One of the key games of the weekend will be played up in Brisbane, where the Lions take on Hawthorn at the Gabba.

We preview all nine games in Round 11.

North Melbourne v Richmond Tigers

The Friday night clash takes on extra significance after North Melbourne parted ways with their coach of over 10 years in Brad Scott last weekend. Scott oversaw a win in his last game at the helm with the Kangaroos toppling the Western Bulldogs by 25 points at Marvel Stadium but now Reece Shaw takes over as the interim coach. North Melbourne have a good record against Richmond, winning seven of the past 10 but the Tigers have won the past two. including last year’s Round 8 clash by 10 points, while they were 35 point winners over the Roos in Round 11 of 2017. Richmond will have all the answers.

Prediction: Tigers by 1-39 ($2.10 MadBookie)

Collingwood v Fremantle Dockers

Collingwood head into the match sitting second on the ladder with eight wins and two losses. They come off a seven-point victory over Sydney last round. Fremantle sit eighth on the ladder with five wins and five losses. They edged the Brisbane Lions by a single point courtesy of Michael Walters. Collingwood have won the last four meetings, and have only dropped two games for the year. They should prove too strong at home.

Prediction: Collingwood by 1-39 ($2.20 MadBookie)

GWS Giants v Gold Coast Suns

The GWS Giants sit third on the ladder with seven wins and three losses. The Suns have a mirrored win-loss ratio of three wins and seven losses as they sit 17th. Four wins from their past five bodes well for the Giants and they meet an out-of-form Suns outfit who have lost their last six matches. GWS have been able to put up some big scores against St Kilda, Carlton and Sydney, and I expect them to score triple figures against Gold Coast.

Prediction: Giants Total: 106-120 ($3.25 MadBookie)

Geelong Cats v Sydney Swans

Geelong have proven that they are the team to beat this season and sit a game clear on top of the ladder with nine wins from their 10 matches. Last weekend it was a 27 point win over the Gold Coast Suns and that victory was their sixth in succession. Sydney have struggled this year, winning just three of their 10 matches. However, their last three weeks have been promising as they defeated both Essendon and North Melbourne in successive weeks before going down by just seven points to Collingwood last weekend. Sydney should prove to be competitive enough but the task at hand does appear to be a difficult one.

Prediction: Cats by 1-39 ($2.10 MadBookie)

Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn

Brisbane have been the improvers this season and have won six of their 10 matches but that could be seven were it not for a last quarter fadeout against Fremantle last weekend. Their opponents, Hawthorn, have won five and lost five and inconsistency has been a problem for the Hawks, who have failed to win two games in a row this year. Last weekend it was a 31 point win over Port Adelaide in Launceston and they get their chance to break that hoodoo this weekend. This shapes as a real toss of the coin but the Lions should head in confident after their performances against the Hawks last season and they have been very solid on their home deck this year.

Prediction: Brisbane win ($1.61 MadBookie)

Melbourne Demons v Adelaide Crows

Both sides were amongst those that suffered defeats in Round 10. Melbourne were no match for GWS, going down to the Giants by 26 points, while Adelaide let a 33 point lead slip when they lost their clash against West Coast by 12. The Crows have the better record of the two sides this year and have won five of their 10 matches, while Melbourne have won just three and their hopes of a finals campaign appear to be all but over. Melbourne have won their past two against Adelaide, defeating the Crows by 13 points at the Adelaide Oval in Round 19 of 2018, and by 91 points earlier in that season. Adelaide will enjoy a win against a Melbourne outfit that have arguably been the disappointments of 2019.

Prediction: Adelaide win ($1.60 MadBookie)

St Kilda v Port Adelaide

St Kilda enter Round 11 with a split 5-5 record that sees them 11th on the ladder. Port Adelaide also boast the same record but have a superior percentage. They are 10th on the ladder. The Saints snapped a losing streak last week with a 13-point victory over Carlton who are no strangers to the bottom of the ladder. The Power were disappointing with a 31-point loss to Hawthorn. Port Adelaide have experience in China, where this game is being played, and should be able to do enough to beat the Saints by a couple of goals.

Prediction: Port -11.5 ($1.93 MadBookie)

Essendon Bombers v Carlton

Both sides head into this under scrutiny after disappointing campaigns thus far. Essendon have underperformed yet again and have won four of their 10 matches, while Carlton are just one win from their 10. The Bombers were no match for Richmond in the ‘Dreamtime’ game at the MCG last weekend, going down to the Tigers by 23 points and to make matters worse, Jake Stringer and Dylan Shiel went down with injuries. On the same weekend, Carlton could not quite reel in St Kilda and lost to the Saints by 13 points. Essendon are there for the taking but it is hard to make a case for Carlton. The Bombers will get over the line in what should be a low scoring affair.

Prediction: Bombers by 1-39 ($2.00 MadBookie)

West Coast Eagles v Western Bulldogs

West Coast sit in 5th position heading into Round 11 and have won their past four matches. Last weekend, they overturned a 33 point deficit to defeat Adelaide in Adelaide by 12 points. On the same weekend, the Western Bulldogs were rolled by North Melbourne by 25. The Dogs sit in 12th position on the ladder and have won just four of 10, while the Eagles have won seven. West Coast will be far too good at their home ground and the 27.5 point line is well within their grasp.

Prediction: Eagles -23.5 ($1.90 MadBookie)