Sport

AFL Round 13: Betting Preview and Tips

Thursday night footy returns for AFL Round 13 which is the second of the bye weeks.

Adelaide Crows and Richmond Tigers get things underway on Thursday before a crucial game for both Essendon Bombers and Hawthorn Hawks aways from Friday night footy.

We take a look at all six games in Round 13 of the season:

Adelaide Crows v Richmond Tigers

The two sides are very evenly poised on the ladder as we edge past the half way mark of the home and away season. Both have won seven of their 12 matches but it is the Crows that head in with the superior recent form, having won their past two. Don Pyke’s side come off an entertaining nine point win over GWS in Round 12 and that effort followed a two point victory over Melbourne the week prior. In the same fortnight, injury riddled Richmond have suffered comprehensive losses to both North Melbourne and Geelong. The two sides famously met in the 2017 Grand Final and it was Richmond that broke the drought by recording a 48-point win. Last year, the two sides split their two clashes with Adelaide exacting some revenge for the Grand Final defeat in Round 2 by winning by 26 points at the Adelaide Oval, before Richmond scored a 47-point win at the MCG in Round 16. Richmond are out of form and it is hard to see them turning things around in time for Thursday night.

Prediction: Crows by 1-39 ($2.06 TopBetta)

Essendon Bombers v Hawthorn

The old sparring partners are precariously placed after their 11 matches so far this season. Both have won just five games and another loss will spell serious trouble for their respective finals hopes. They should head in with fresh legs after enjoying the bye last weekend. Essendon won their game prior to the break, taking out a woeful Carlton outfit by 41 points, while Hawthorn were overrun against Brisbane, going down by 19 after a tight first few quarters. Little splits the two sides but Hawthorn have a good record against their rivals and can scrape through with a win. Hawthorn claimed a classic between the two sides in Round 20 of 2018 by four points. That was the second win for the Hawks over their old rivals in 2018 as they won the Round 7 fixture by 23 points.

Prediction: Hawthorn win ($2.12 TopBetta

Gold Coast Suns v St Kilda

Both sides have struggled in 2019. They were both quick out of the blocks and registered early season wins but their last couple of months have left a lot to be desired. Gold Coast opened up with three wins out of their first four games but have since lost eight on the trot. St Kilda won four of the first five games but have won just one game since then. They come off the bye in Round 12 so should head in with fresh legs. This should be a close one but I’m inclined to go with St Kilda as they have slightly more attacking options. Gold Coast finished off well last weekend against North but it is hard to see them finding a way to kick a winning score.

Prediction: St Kilda win ($1.62 TopBetta

Fremantle Dockers v Port Adelaide

The two sides are evenly poised on the ladder after 11 games each this year. Both have won six of their 11 games but Port have the superior percentage and are ranked 7th, while Fremantle are 9th. Both come off the bye in Round 12. Prior to the break, Port Adelaide were 70 point winners over St Kilda in Shanghai, China, while closer to home, Fremantle upstaged the fancied Collingwood outfit by four points. Fremantle can register another important win in front of their home fans.

Prediction: Fremantle win ($1.73 TopBetta

Carlton v Western Bulldogs

This shapes as an interesting one after Carlton registered what was just their second win of the season last weekend. That came against the Brisbane Lions in what was David Teague’s first game in charge as coach of the struggling club. The victory ended a run of six successive losses for the Blues, a streak that would see the club part ways with their now former coach, Brendan Bolton. Interestingly, their previous victory this year came against their opponents for this weekend’s match, the Western Bulldogs. The Dogs have struggled themselves in 2018 and have won just four of their 11 matches. They have lost their past three but head in with fresh legs after enjoying the bye last weekend. This could go either way but the Blues represent the value in the head to head betting and are worth sticking with.

Prediction: Carlton win ($2.56 TopBetta

North Melbourne v GWS Giants

North Melbourne have been the improvers in recent weeks and have won their past three. Those victories have come against the Western Bulldogs, Richmond and the Gold Coast. Last weekend it was a 27 point win against the Suns, a victory that saw them jump to 12th spot on the ladder with five victories for the year. GWS have fared better and have won eight of their 12 hitouts to date. However, the Giants have a few injury concerns and went down to Adelaide in Round 12 by nine points. North Melbourne can head in with confidence at Blundstone Arena, given their recent form in 2019 and at the ground. The Roos can stick with the Giants in what should be a close one.

Prediction: North Melbourne +12.5 ($1.80 TopBetta