AFL Round 6: Betting Preview and Tips

AFL Round 6 features the annual ANZAC Day showdown between Essendon Bombers and Collingwood.

The action gets under on ANZAC Day Eve when Richmond Tigers meet Melbourne Demons while there is also a Sydney derby to look forward to between the Swans and the Giants.

We preview each of the nine games below:

Richmond Tigers v Melbourne Demons

Wednesday, April 24

Richmond have been posted as the favourites in the early head to head betting against a Melbourne side that have simply battled in the early stages of 2019. Despite heading into the season as one of the top premiership fancies, last year’s Preliminary Finalists have won just one game out of their five so far this season. Things are much brighter for Richmond, who have overcome a torrid run with injuries to star players to win three of their five games thus far. Richmond have won the past two games between the two sides, taking out the corresponding fixtures in 2017 and 2018. Richmond have won 23 of their past 25 at the MCG. Melbourne have won just seven of their past 16 at the home of footy.Richmond will be far too good for a Melbourne outfit that have been not good enough so far this season.

Prediction: Tigers -14.5 ($1.90 TopBetta)

Essendon Bombers v Collingwood

Thursday, April 25

Both teams have three wins to their credit from five matches so far but it is Collingwood that have been posted as favourites in the head to head betting on the back of their superior standing at the end of 2018.Last year’s runners-up have clicked into gear in recent weeks and are expected to be up there again this season. This shapes as one of the better ANZAC Day games in recent seasons as both sides come into this with excellent form. Essendon are in superb touch but Collingwood might just have more versatility around the ground to hold them out.

Prediction: Collingwood by 1-39 ($2.25 TopBetta)

Port Adelaide v North Melbourne

Friday, April 26

Port Adelaide were big winners in AFL Round 5, defeating last year’s premiers, the West Coast Eagles by 42 points. On the same day, North Melbourne went down Essendon by 58 points and that loss has left them languishing in last position on the ladder with just one win to their credit. The Power should be tough to beat. They have a host of midfielders that are in great form including Ollie Wines and Tom Rockliff, while their younger players seem to have rejuvenated the perennial underachievers. It is hard to see where North Melbourne’s improvement will come from. A lack of scoring potency up forward remains a concern and this shapes as another long night for their frustrated fans.

Prediction: Port Adelaide -26.5 ($1.90 TopBetta)

Gold Coast Suns v Brisbane Lions

Saturday, April 27

The Gold Coast Suns and Brisbane Lions both enter the clash with three wins but are coming off heavy defeats with the Suns beaten 119-46 against Adelaide and the Lions beaten 123-61 at home against Collingwood. The key for the Lions will be Lachie Neale, Daniel Rich and Dayne Zorko. That trio will need to be good for the Lions to prevail at Metricon. Brisbane have been disappointing at their past two but have met stronger opposition and can bounce back with a victory.

Prediction: Brisbane by 1-39 ($2.10 TopBetta)

St Kilda v Adelaide Crows

Saturday, April 27

St Kilda kicked off the 2019 season in style with four wins and one loss as they sit second on the ladder. They were far too good for Melbourne last week with a 40-point victory. Adelaide come off a dominant victory over the Suns as they decimated the visitors 18.11 (119) to 6.10 (46). The Saints enter this match in good form with a victory over Hawthorn prior to the win over the Demons. Almost a coin-flip to decide which team will win. Home-ground advantage could prove the difference so going with St Kilda in a close encounter.

Prediction: Saints win ($1.81 TopBetta)

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Sydney Swans v GWS Giants

Saturday, April 27

Sydney have struggled in season 2019, winning just one of their first five games and they are in danger of missing out on the finals for the first time since 2009. The Swans come off a 22 point loss to Richmond and their only win this season was against Carlton by 19 points in Round 3. GWS come in with some mixed form. They were brilliant winners over Geelong in Geelong two weeks ago but in Round 5 they were outclassed by Fremantle to the tune of 24 points. The Giants should bounce back against Sydney but will need to make sure there are no signs of the lethargy that seemed to be evident in the loss to the Dockers.

Prediction: GWS -13.5 ($1.90 TopBetta)

Fremantle Dockers v Western Bulldogs

Saturday, April 27  

Fremantle have shocked many by sitting third on the ladder at this stage with three wins and two losses. They defeated the GWS Giants by 24 points at Manuka Oval last week. The Western Bulldogs were humiliated by Carlton to the tune of 44 points, with the win being the Blues’ first for the year. Fremantle are playing better footy than the Bulldogs and should take care of them at home.

Prediction: Dockers -15.5 ($1.90 TopBetta)

Hawthorn v Carlton

Sunday, April 28

The two sides feature in the bottom half of the ladder. The Hawks, who have been hit hard by injuries in the early parts of 2019, have a win-loss record of 2-3, while Carlton are 1-4. The Blues broke through for a memorable victory in Round 5, their first for the year. That performance saw them defeat the Western Bulldogs by 44 points and it was the first time Brendan Bolton’s outfit topped the 100 points in a game since Round 11 of 2016. On the same weekend, Hawthorn went down to their modern day rivals Geelong. Carlton can get in top at the stoppages but Hawthorn should have the answers, particularly up forward, where they have more firepower.

Prediction: Hawthorn by 1-39 ($2.00 TopBetta)

Geelong Cats v West Coast Eagles

Sunday, April 28

Geelong have been the early pacesetters in 2019 and sit on top of the AFL ladder with four wins to their credit from five games. The Cats come off a hard fought 23 point win over Hawthorn and should be hard to beat at their home ground of GMHBA Stadium. They take on the 2018 premiers, West Coast, who have produced some indifferent form so far this season. The Eagles have won three of five but come off an upset loss to Port Adelaide last weekend by 42 points. West Coast represent the value in the betting with the start.

Prediction: Eagles +16.5 ($1.93 TopBetta)