Sport

AFL Round 8: Betting Preview and Tips

AFL Round 8 features the latest edition of the Showdown with Port Adelaide and Adelaide Crows clashing on Saturday.

Sydney Swans play host to the Essendon Bombers at the SCG on Friday night to kick things off and leaders Geelong Cats will fancy their chances against North Melbourne.

We preview all nine games:

Sydney Swans v Essendon Bombers

Sydney are a shadow of the side that has seen them make every finals series this decade. The Swans have registered just the one victory in 2019, with that coming against lowly Carlton in round three. Essendon also have an inferior record when comparing wins to losses. The Bombers have won three of seven and come off a 22 point defeat against the competition’s pacesetters, Geelong. Essendon claimed victory the last time the two sides met by knocking over Sydney by 43 points at Marvel Stadium in round 19 last season. It is hard to see how Sydney can turn their recent form around.

Prediction: Essendon -11.5 ($1.90 TopBetta)  

Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions

The two sides were among the big winners last weekend. An Aaron Naughton-inspired Western Bulldogs pulled off an upset 47-point win over Richmond, while the Brisbane Lions accounted for the Sydney Swans by 22 points at the GABBA. The win for the Bulldogs snapped a four game losing streak and they now have a win-loss record of 3-4. Brisbane are in fourth spot with five wins. This shapes as a close one but Brisbane represent the value with the start.

Prediction: Brisbane +5.5 ($1.90 TopBetta)  

Carlton v Collingwood

The Magpies have won five of their seven games and are currently in second spot on the ladder. Nathan Buckley’s side come of an excellent 39 point win over Port Adelaide last weekend. The same cannot be said for Carlton, who have won just one of their seven games and went down to the Kangaroos by 58 last weekend. Collingwood will be far too good but the forecast wet conditions may prevent a blowout. 

Prediction: Collingwood 1-39 ($2.50 TopBetta)  

Gold Coast Suns v Melbourne Demons

Few would have predicted that at this stage of the season Gold Coast would have the superior win-loss record over Melbourne. The Suns have won three of their seven games, while the early premiership fancies Melbourne Demons have won just two of seven. However, the Demons head in as favourites and come off a hard fought five point win over Hawthorn. Melbourne will take confidence out of their win last weekend and if they can get their running game going they will be hard to beat. 

Prediction: Melbourne -18.5 ($1.90 TopBetta)  

St Kilda v West Coast Eagles

The two sides head into this with win-loss records of 4-3 but it is West Coast that are expected to win on the back of their superiority in 2018. Last year’s premiers come off a 23 point win over the Gold Coast Suns in round seven, while St Kilda lost to GWS by 44. The Saints have lost two on the trot after opening up with four wins from their first five games. This should be a lot closer than what many think but the Eagles can hold sway at Marvel Stadium. 

Prediction: West Coast by 1-39 ($2.10 TopBetta)  

Port Adelaide v Adelaide Crows

Both Adelaide teams head into Round 8 with four wins and three losses beside their name. Port Adelaide comes off a 39-point loss to Collingwood at Marvel Stadium, but they had beaten West Coast and North Melbourne before that loss. Adelaide have won their last three matches and have won six of the past seven Showdowns. Key outs for Port Adelaide give Adelaide the edge and their recent domination in Showdowns bodes well heading into this contest.

Prediction: Adelaide Crows win ($1.65 TopBetta)  

North Melbourne v Geelong Cats

North Melbourne are trying to kick-start their season with back-to-back wins, but unfortunately for the Kangaroos they bump into the Geelong Cats who sit atop the AFL ladder with six wins and one loss. The Roos demolished Carlton last week by 58 points which should give them some confidence. The Cats proved superior for Essendon with a comfortable 32-point victory. Geelong proved they can beat strong opposition without some of their star players and they have the depth to easily account for North Melbourne.

Prediction: Geelong -24.5 ($1.90 TopBetta)  

Hawthorn v GWS Giants

Hawthorn come off a disappointing five point loss to Melbourne in round seven. That effort saw them slump to 13th spot on the ladder with a win-loss record of 3-4. On the same weekend, GWS proved to be too good for St Kilda, holding out the Saints by 44 points in Canberra. The Giants concluded the round in 3rd position with five wins for the season. Hawthorn will find it hard against a GWS outfit that boast a number of big names. But despite their troubles, the Hawks haven’t been too far away this year and the home ground advantage brings them into it. Take them with the point start. 

Prediction: Hawthorn +11.5 ($1.90 TopBetta)  

Fremantle Dockers v Richmond Tigers

Fremantle enter Round 8 with four wins and three losses as they sit 5th on the AFL ladder. Richmond are in a position that they despise, sitting 9th on the ladder with the same win-loss record as the Dockers. The Dockers come off a low-scoring loss in Adelaide where they kicked 5.4 (34) to the Crows’ 7.9 (51). Richmond also come off a loss where they were completely outplayed to the tune of 47 points. Richmond have a depleted team compared to the last time they met Fremantle, but they shouldn’t be taken lightly.

Prediction: Richmond win ($2.28 TopBetta)