The Coolmore Classic (1500m) is the sole Group 1 of the weekend as the Autumn Carnival takes a chance to get its breath back.
But the race looks a hugely competitive one with a capacity field of 20 fillies and mares set to line up at a wet Rosehill on Saturday, including defending champion Daysee Doom.
Who will come out on top? We take a look at the race and make our predictions below.
1. DAYSEE DOOM ($22): She was disappointing on face value first-up in the Mille Fox Stakes (1300m), which was the race she won first-up last preparation as a lead-up to her tough victory in the Coolmore Classic last year. Barrier 21 looks horrendous and she will have to use up plenty of early petrol to find a position near the speed.
2. DIXIE BLOSSOMS ($14.10): The twin of Daysee Doom, Dixie Blossoms comes through the Group 2 Guy Walter (1400m) where she looked the winner at the furlong but just looked to peak on her run the final 100m, finishing second. She will need luck in the straight from barrier two but is a key chance if everything goes her way.
5. OREGON’S DAY ($13.10): She was $5.00 out to $7.50 first-up but got the run and bolted through to defeating the highly talented Clarice Cliffs in the Group 3 Tressady Stakes (1400m) at Flemington. The concern is, she hasn’t faced a wet track since August 2017 but in the start prior she did run fifth (beaten 1.4 lengths) behind Foxplay in the Group 1 Coolmore Legacy. She is right in this.
6. ALASSIO ($13.10): She has flown through the grades this preparation, four starts ago she was in a Benchmark 78 and has since won the Group 3 Triscay Stakes (1200m) and the Group 2 Guy Walter Stakes (1400m). Her figures suggest she is a little below these but does map to get a nice run from barrier six with Tim Clark on board.
11. I AM SERIOUS ($5.51): The five-year-old mare is a model of consistency, running in the top three in her last eight starts, with the last time she missed the placings almost 12 months ago. She has five wins and two placings from seven starts on rain affected going and her run behind Avilius in the Group 3 Kingston Town Stakes (2000m) is good enough to win this. She should stay out of trouble from barrier 15 and if it’s a race to the outside fence, she looks well suited.
14. SAVATIANO ($15.10): I thought Savatiano was terrific behind White Moss and I Am Serious first-up in the Mille Fox. She was left in front a long way out last start in the Newcastle Handicap (1600m) and was just run down by Princess Posh over the final 50m. I like the slight step back from a mile to 1500m and she has shown she can handle a wet track. Big chance.
15. EL DORADO DREAMING ($16.10): She has an SP that was similar to Mystic Journey when running third behind her on Cox Plate Day at Moonee Valley. She comes into Saturday’s event third-up, and despite drawing wide, she’ll be looking to drop out and come with a big run in the straight.
16. FIESTA ($13.10): She produced terrific figures, showing an explosive turn of foot to defeat Golden Slipper winner Estijaab. She was well supported going into the Group 1 Surround Stakes (1400m) last start and ran well, but just ran out of fitness late. I think she will improve third-up over 1500m and has shown she races well on wet tracks.
17. JAMAICAN RAIN ($7.51): Jamaican Rain is the best wet tracker in the field and with Rosehill predicted to get between 40-100mm of rain in the next 48 hours, that is a big advantage. She surprised me first-up, winning the Group 3 Mannerism Stakes on a Good 3 at Caulfield, defeating Naantali and subsequent winner Spanish Reef. First-up for 175 days, I really liked her turn of foot. She has had six starts on wet tracks for five wins and one second. Her two peak runs have both been on rain affected tracks too.
Some strong form lines come together and there should be plenty of value on offer in such an open event.
The Millie Fox Stakes (1300m), the Guy Walter Stakes (1400m) and Surround Stakes (1400m) have been the best guide to the Coolmore Classic. But which stakes up best.
I Am Serious was beaten by White Moss in the Millie Fox, but should be much better suited by the wet track at Rosehill this time. The favourite can come out in front on Saturday.
1. I Am Serious
2. Jamaican Rain
4. El Dorado Dreaming