Racing

Doomben 10,000: Betting Preview and Tips

A field 13 sprinters will contest Saturday’s Group 1 Doomben 10,000 (1200m) at Doomben.

Nature Strip and Osborne Bulls dominate the betting, but can either of them be beaten? Or is there value in opposing the top two?

We take a look at the big sprint.

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KEY RUNNERS

1. OSBORNE BULLS ($3.01): Osborne Bulls has finished second in all four Group Ones this preparation and has been gross unders on three of those four occasions (in my opinion). He is a horse who needs everything to go his way and has been overbet due to his ‘flashing light runs’. He probably wasn’t suited inside runners last start in the All Aged Stakes (1400m), running the second-fastest 800m-600m of the race, second-fastest 600m-400m, fastest 400m-200m and only the fourth-fastest last 200m of the race. He maps nicely enough from barrier four but the key will be getting him to the outside. The tight turning Doomben track probably doesn’t suit him but this does look his best chance to win a Group One this preparation. 

2. NATURE STRIP ($2.11): The obvious question is, will Nature Strip run 1200m? If he runs the trip he wins. He was pressured two starts ago in the Oakleigh Plate (1100m) and my theory is, he struggles to breathe probably when horses are pressuring him throughout the middle of the race. He was able to stride out on his own last start in the Group 1 Galaxy (1100m) and we saw he hung on against Pierata who franked that form. He went 10.2 lengths above benchmark and led clearly on that occasion, another repeat of that speed figure will see him leading clearly again. Since that run, he has had more time in the Sydney stable of Chris Waller which I deem as important and if he is ever going to run 1200m at this stage of his career it will be at Doomben. Barrier 11 is perfect and the soft track helps.

5. EASY EDDIE ($20.10): The four-year-old gelding is an interesting runner. He ran a blinder two starts ago, running third behind Nature Strip and Pierata in the Group One Galaxy (1000m) and ran a really solid G1 figure of 14.3 lengths above benchmark. He was three-wide no cover last start and still looked like was going to figure in the finish but just faded at the 200m. He still battled through the line ok, has trialled since and will love any rain between now and Saturday. 

11. CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES ($11.10): I was against Champagne Cuddles last start in the All Aged Stakes off her $101 starting price the start before in the T.J. Smith. She proved me wrong and backed up that performance, finishing a very strong fourth only beaten a length behind Pierata and Osborne Bulls. She ran the third-fastest 600m-400m of the race, ninth-fastest 400m-200m and fifth-fastest last 200m in restricted room until the last 150m. She was just outbobbed for third. She is in the game and could get things to suit from barrier 10.

13. OUTBACK BARBIE ($16.10): Her figures aren’t up to the likes of Osborne Bulls and Nature Strip but she did run Zoustyle to within 0.8L and many good judges are declaring that horse a future Group One star. She is first-up for 118 days, I’m unsure if this is her target race first-up or is there more to come? Respect any market moves. 

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VERDICT

It’s a tricky race and one of Nature Strip and Osborne Bulls should win this race most of the time but I’m happy to have a throw at the stumps with Easy Eddie at a big price. 

Easy Eddie ran a blinder two starts ago, running third behind Nature Strip and Pierata in the Group One Galaxy (1000m) and ran a really solid G1 figure of 14.3 lengths above benchmark, which is the best figure in the race outside of Nature Strip and Osborne Bulls. 

  1. Easy Eddie
  2. Osborne Bulls
  3. Nature Strip
  4. Champagne Cuddles