Racing

Weekend Best Bets

The Sunshine Coast Guineas provides the feature race of the weekend with competitive winter racing at Caulfield and Rosehill to look forward to.

We pick out the best bet for all three meetings.

Caulfield

Race 2

FIVE KINGDOM ($3.10 TopBetta) was a beaten favourite at Flemington last Saturday. He looked disappointing on face value but looking at the replay and the data, his run was nearly the run of the day in my opinion. It was a terrible ride from Lewis German and the jockey change from German to Lachie King, who has won on the horse in the past, is a very positive one. The horse began well and was snicked back to near last before overracing badly and expending too much energy for the position he was in. Pria Eclipse will likely kick up and lead from barrier four but the position outside the leader looks up for grabs and if King slides forward from that barrier, he is clearly the horse to beat.

Rosehill

Race 5

Destiny’s Kiss will be looking to well and truly turn the clock back having won this race in 2014. He was beaten nine lengths in the Sydney Cup (3200m) in 2016 and finished 3rd in this race last year behind Plot Twist and Doukhan. With Chris Williams’ 3kg claim, Destiny’s Kiss gets in with 59.5kg which is only 3kg more than Doukhan this year. Destiny’s Kiss also bounced back to winning form last start going 5.7 lengths above Benchmark (BM) over 2400m. This is a strong figure and he rates a top hope, however, AZURO ($5.00 TopBetta) brings undeniable form to this event and is nicely weighted on 56kg. The French-import finished 4.7 lengths from Steel Prince and Surprise Baby in the Andrew Ramsden (2800m) last start. His 3rd placing over 2800m at Flemington was on a Heavy 8, so track conditions won’t be an issue. If he can produce another spike performance as he steps up to two miles, I can’t see anything beating him here.

Sunshine Coast

Race 6 – Sunshine Coast Guineas

Far from disgraced in the Group One Tatt’s Tiara last start, BACCARAT BABY ($3.00 TopBetta) will find this much more to her liking and lines up a very strong chance of taking this out. Three starts back she was most impressive when finishing second behind Military Zone in the Group 3 Fred Best Classic at Eagle Farm. She was well back and never on the track that day. The three-year-old then finished a close-up second behind Kolding in the Group Two Queensland Guineas, beaten just half a length. She hasn’t drawn a decent gate for three starts and her luck continues here, however, there is a ton of early speed in this which may help her cross and find a sit nearer the fence with cover. Jockey Michael Hellyer has ridden her in 12 of her 14 races which indicates he knows how best to ride her and if they see daylight on the turn, she will be storming home again.

The Sunshine Coast Guineas provides the feature race of the weekend with competitive winter racing at Caulfield and Rosehill to look forward to.

We pick out the best bet for all three meetings.

Caulfield

Race 2

FIVE KINGDOM was a beaten favourite at Flemington last Saturday. He looked disappointing on face value but looking at the replay and the data, his run was nearly the run of the day in my opinion. It was a terrible ride from Lewis German and the jockey change from German to Lachie King, who has won on the horse in the past, is a very positive one. The horse began well and was snicked back to near last before overracing badly and expending too much energy for the position he was in. Pria Eclipse will likely kick up and lead from barrier four but the position outside the leader looks up for grabs and if King slides forward from that barrier, he is clearly the horse to beat.

Rosehill

Race 5

Destiny’s Kiss will be looking to well and truly turn the clock back having won this race in 2014. He was beaten nine lengths in the Sydney Cup (3200m) in 2016 and finished 3rd in this race last year behind Plot Twist and Doukhan. With Chris Williams’ 3kg claim, Destiny’s Kiss gets in with 59.5kg which is only 3kg more than Doukhan this year. Destiny’s Kiss also bounced back to winning form last start going 5.7 lengths above Benchmark (BM) over 2400m. This is a strong figure and he rates a top hope, however, AZURO brings undeniable form to this event and is nicely weighted on 56kg. The French-import finished 4.7 lengths from Steel Prince and Surprise Baby in the Andrew Ramsden (2800m) last start. His 3rd placing over 2800m at Flemington was on a Heavy 8, so track conditions won’t be an issue. If he can produce another spike performance as he steps up to two miles, I can’t see anything beating him here.

Sunshine Coast

Race 6 – Sunshine Coast Guineas

Far from disgraced in the Group One Tatt’s Tiara last start, BACCARAT BABY will find this much more to her liking and lines up a very strong chance of taking this out. Three starts back she was most impressive when finishing second behind Military Zone in the Group 3 Fred Best Classic at Eagle Farm. She was well back and never on the track that day. The three-year-old then finished a close-up second behind Kolding in the Group Two Queensland Guineas, beaten just half a length. She hasn’t drawn a decent gate for three starts and her luck continues here, however, there is a ton of early speed in this which may help her cross and find a sit nearer the fence with cover. Jockey Michael Hellyer has ridden her in 12 of her 14 races which indicates he knows how best to ride her and if they see daylight on the turn, she will be storming home again.

will find this much more to her liking and lines up a very strong chance of taking this out. Three starts back she was most impressive when finishing second behind Military Zone in the Group 3 Fred Best Classic at Eagle Farm. She was well back and never on the track that day. The three-year-old then finished a close-up second behind Kolding in the Group Two Queensland Guineas, beaten just half a length. She hasn’t drawn a decent gate for three starts and her luck continues here, however, there is a ton of early speed in this which may help her cross and find a sit nearer the fence with cover. Jockey Michael Hellyer has ridden her in 12 of her 14 races which indicates he knows how best to ride her and if they see daylight on the turn, she will be storming home again.